CVG-Russell's profileGames of LifePhotosBlogLists Tools Help

Blog


    April 19

    Survey Says - I Beat the Analyst

    So a few days ago I made my console/handheld March sales predictions after seeing Michael Pachter's and believing he was a bit off...how did it all pan out?  Well do you think I'd be writing if I had been beaten? ;)
     
    The closer of the two of us is in italics below. Michael did beat me on one of the seven, guessing the GBA numbers more closely than I did, so I have to give him his dues, but for the moment I'm feeling like I'm king :) .
     
    Wii
    Michael - 400,000
    Me - 250,000
    Reality - 259,000
     
    PS2
    Michael - 250,000
    Me - 270,000
    Reality - 280,000
     
    DS
    Michael - 250,000
    Me - 300,000
    Reality - 508,000
     
    XBox 360
    Michael - 250,000
    Me - 210,000
    Reality - 199,000
     
    PSP
    Michael - 210,000
    Me - 165,000
    Reality - 180,000
     
    PS3
    Michael - 165,000
    Me - 125,000
    Reality - 130,000
     
    GBA
    Michael - 165,000
    Me - 125,000
    Reality - 148,000

    Comments (2)

    Please wait...
    Sorry, the comment you entered is too long. Please shorten it.
    You didn't enter anything. Please try again.
    Sorry, we can't add your comment right now. Please try again later.
    To add a comment, you need permission from your parent. Ask for permission
    Your parent has turned off comments.
    Sorry, we can't delete your comment right now. Please try again later.
    You've exceeded the maximum number of comments that can be left in one day. Please try again in 24 hours.
    Your account has had the ability to leave comments disabled because our systems indicate that you may be spamming other users. If you believe that your account has been disabled in error please contact Windows Live support.
    Complete the security check below to finish leaving your comment.
    The characters you type in the security check must match the characters in the picture or audio.

    To add a comment, sign in with your Windows Live ID (if you use Hotmail, Messenger, or Xbox LIVE, you have a Windows Live ID). Sign in


    Don't have a Windows Live ID? Sign up

    Far from an embarrassment as I'm sure you know. The reality is that I spend far too much time watching numbers and I was shocked at how eerily close my numbers were to reality.  It is somewhat related to my job as a Director of Marketing, but moreso I think it is related to my love of numbers. As far as where April went, I use the Japan numbers to get a good baseline on availability of Nintendo platforms, they've been doing a fairly solid split, though with the release of Pokemon, the DS has been much more available.  I keep thinking that NEXT month is going to be the month that the Wii hits 400,000 in the US, but the recent statements on production by Nintendo make me think that 350,000 is the MAXIMUM possible number.  For April, 300,000 seems reasonable.  PS3 and 360 are likely to drop. Looking at the year over year numbers for the last 5 years, April has consistently been a dip month.  I expect that to remain true.  The rest is just projecting numbers based on previous charts, Worldwide sales, public sentiment and pixie dust. Sometimes more pixie dust than at other times.
     
    By the way, I'm very impressed that you visited this blog (which I update quite irregularly, though my blog at Reflexive.com and my website Gametunnel.com both receive better than weekly updates). I'm honestly stunned that Michael Pachter found this blog.  In fact, I'd state it unlikely that anyone would openly post their email address, which makes more than skeptical of the reality.
     
    Thanks for the fun though.
    May 9
    Picture of Anonymous
    Michael Pachter wrote:
    You're the king!  Send me your picks next month, so I don't embarrass myself again . . . michael.pachter@wedbush.com
    Apr. 19

    Trackbacks

    Weblogs that reference this entry
    • None