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April 13 March Sales PredictionJust for fun (and because I think the analysts are way off) let's predict sales numbers for March. I pinned the Xbox 360 Christmas numbers quite well (mine was 1.5-1.75 actually was 1.61) so who knows, I might get some of these right as well.
Michael Pachter, a noted analyst has made his predictions on the March NPD sales numbers, I'll list mine below in () to the right of his, followed by the +/- difference between our numbers. And who cares who is right, but I often wonder where analysts get their numbers from...so let's see if I have reason to wonder or not!
Wii - 400,000 (250,000) -150,000
PS2 - 250,000 (270,000) +20,000
DS - 250,000 (300,000) +50,000
Xbox 360 - 250,000 (210,000) -40,000
PSP - 210,000 (165,000) -45,000
PS3 - 165,000 (125,000) -40,000
GBA - 165,000 (125,000) -40,000 Reasons for the Wii drop? Well, I think supply of the console in March was especially low. The lack of Wii availability could turn to Microsoft's favor as I think the 250,000 360 numbers are within reach, potentially the 360 will outsell the Wii in March. It's a small victory, but the media and fanboys will enjoy it immensly.
I'm really perplexed by the PSP numbers. Either I'm really underestimating its sell-through or the analyst is. Same with the GBA, I think that ship has sailed and you'll soon see large drops in sales in the GBA. I would put a higher number for the DS, but I fear it has been hardware constrained like the Wii. TrackbacksWeblogs that reference this entry
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